New energy automobile policy is now "scissors difference"

The rise and development of a market, in fact, not so complicated, that is, consumers have demand, coupled with reasonable prices, the market will naturally develop. Appropriate policy guidance and support will benefit the healthy development of the industry, but the purpose of guidance is to eventually achieve development that does not require guidance.

“Last year was 20,000 electric vehicles, which may reach 50,000 this year, but there is still a big gap compared to the planned sales of 500,000 vehicles in 2015.” Zhang Guobao, Director of the Expert Consultation Committee of the National Energy Commission, in October The data of this group was disclosed on the Summit Forum on Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development held on the 17th.

Xu Changming, director of the Information Resource Department of the National Information Center, also pointed out: "From the current situation, the possibility of completing the task is almost zero. We estimate that it would be good to complete 20%."

The new energy vehicles that were once placed on the "highway of passing corners" have invested heavily in the country's real money and silver subsidies. At present, there appears to be a huge "scissors gap" between the intensity and effectiveness of the policies.

However, Xu Changming believes: “The goal of accumulatively selling 5 million vehicles in 2020 now seems to be possible.” According to expert analysis, China has an advantageous environment for the development of new energy vehicles. However, at the policy level, there are still many links worth reflecting on.

Outstanding

In 2013, China’s auto production and sales both exceeded 20 million vehicles, ranking first in the world for five consecutive years. This year, under the pressure of economic downturn, the auto industry still stands out in the industrial sector.

In the automotive industry, new energy vehicles are also believed to lead a new round of revolution. According to Zhan, the head of the new energy vehicle management department of Beijing Automotive Industry Group, in the next few years, BAIC will have more than 5 billion yuan of funds invested in new energy vehicle capacity building and product development, and 30% of the annual research and development expenses will be used for research and development of new energy vehicles. .

"No matter which country or automobile company, the development of a new generation of new energy vehicles as the basis for survival and development, if those who did not seize this opportunity to take precautions, they may be eliminated by the era, who dared not take it lightly." Zhang Guobao said.

After the financial crisis, developed countries in Europe and the United States even more encouraged the development of new energy vehicles. From the US Department of Energy’s latest sales of new energy vehicles, the United States currently has an annual market of 100,000 units. Japan also proposed a grand goal - by 2020, more than 80% of new cars sold will be new energy vehicles.

With the support of policies, a number of companies with international reputation have also emerged in China, and many products are exported overseas. At the same time, more and more consumers are beginning to accept new energy vehicles. According to an online survey conducted by Haidian Driving School, 80% of consumers believe that new energy vehicles are the future direction of development.

In fact, sales of new energy vehicles in the country in the first eight months of this year were rampant and suddenly broke out after September. According to Zhan’s article, the amount of orders received by various companies has far exceeded the production capacity.

The breakout point began with the purchase-free tax policy introduced in September. It can be said that in the promotion of new energy vehicles, policies have played the most crucial role. "In the field of new energy vehicles, our country's policy support is very large throughout the world, and more and more reasonable." Xu Changming pointed out.

Great potential

In addition to the number of non-compliance, according to statistics, the promotion of electric vehicles in China is also not up to the standard - the original plan is mainly promoted in the private sector, and the results are better in the public domain.

Li Shuyu, president of CCID Consulting Co., Ltd., told the “China Science Journal” reporter that from the current perspective of China’s new energy vehicle market, products can meet public transport demand, but performance indicators are still not able to meet the needs of the mass market. Pure electric vehicles are The popularity of private applications is very low, and there are also issues such as insufficient battery life and inconvenient infrastructure in the public transport sector.

According to reports, there is a large market for initial promotion of new energy vehicles in China. For example, buses sell about 50,000 vehicles each year, and the number of vehicles is about 500,000. In addition, environmental sanitation, logistics, express delivery, postal services, patrol law enforcement vehicles, taxis, etc., add up to a very large scale. Public areas are more convenient for charging and maintenance and are suitable for the development of new energy vehicles.

In addition, China has a very large potential market. “China’s car ownership will reach about the level of the United States today by 2020, that is, 250 million vehicles. Moreover, China’s car use model is similar to that of the United States, such as the number of kilometers traveled, models, etc., but we have one billion more people than the United States. Coupled with our country is in the period of high-speed construction, it is estimated that the future market demand is very large." Xu Changming said.

According to a survey conducted by the National Information Center, the second car with a family income of more than RMB 200,000 is more likely to purchase a new energy vehicle, and it is expected that the amount of possession will be substantial.

In terms of cost, the cost of batteries is also gradually declining. Over the past 20 years, the cost of lithium battery cells has dropped by more than 90%. However, Zhang Guobao pointed out that all countries in the world have taken battery technology as an important direction for the future development of science and technology. "We are not as important as the West in terms of importance."

"Overall, China's prospects for the development of new energy vehicles are better," Xu Changming said.