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Analysis on the status quo and prospect of plant protection drone development
[ China Agricultural Machinery Industry News ] In the past few years, drone spraying pesticides from "the impossibility of the market" to "this is feasible", from "a huge plant protection cake market" to "difficulties in development"... The plant protection drone industry has favorable factors for development, and there are also many restrictive factors for development. It has gradually grown in the market's questioning and recognition, negation and affirmation, problems and breaking. We believe that the future of agriculture, the future of the agricultural industry, will be undergoing tremendous changes due to the rise of plant protection drones, and this change is even unpredictable.
Analysis on the status quo and prospect of plant protection drone development
From a macro perspective
1. The global economy “eastward rises and falls†has accelerated the rapid development of Asian countries. At the same time, global integration is accelerating, and the application of intelligent equipment in various industries is accelerating, and agricultural intelligent equipment is further developed and applied.
2. The 15 year protection period of WTO will end in December 2016, which means that the market of China's agricultural gradual and comprehensive opening is really coming. The protection of agricultural tariffs will gradually decline, and the prices of agricultural products will change greatly, and most will fall. The era of profitability of agricultural products by cheap labor ends. The profit of agricultural products comes from the inevitable trend of lowering production costs and increasing production efficiency. The reduction of production costs and the improvement of production efficiency will lead to the era of large-scale application of intelligent equipment.
From the development status of plant protection machinery
The scale of foreign markets is more mature and developed than domestic ones. The proportion of world aviation cultivated land treatment is 17.8%, the United States is: 50%, Japan is 38%, and Russia is: 38%. These data are data from foreign aviation plant protection. At present, China's aviation arable land treatment is less than 2%. The market size of plant protection drones is not large. It is not defined by UAV manufacturers, nor is it defined by national R&D institutions. It is determined by market development trends. In the future, it will not be small, and it will be relatively large-scale. It is only a process to be gradually realized. This process may be 3 or 5 years, or it may be longer or shorter. It is still difficult to judge because of market development. It's really too fast.
There are more than 2,800 counties in China, and the arable land area is 1.8 billion mu. The current number of drones is not enough. In 2016, the number of national drones is expected to be around 10,000 (some of which are displayed by the government and other relevant departments, and they are not really flying). In 2017, it is expected to increase 15,000, totaling 25,000, and more than 2,800 counties across the country. The average number of less than 10 in each county is still insufficient to meet market demand.
Market pattern and differences in play styles
From the perspective of time and development, the industry is still in its infancy, and the differences in play styles are not large, and they are all contributing to the popularization of the industry. Some sell airplanes, some do services, some engage in alliances, some sell airplanes to serve as alliances, and some specialize in government subsidies. No matter what style of play, everyone is promoting the progress of the industry. If there is something to do, then it will be good for those who truly think and understand agriculture in the industry.
From a technical and product perspective
In fact, the background and technical strength of each company and the different choices of values ​​are different.
For the sales and after-sales of plant protection drones, the establishment systems of each company are also different. The strategy of each manufacturer is different, the financial support and staffing are different. It is not good to say what kind of system is suitable for each time. Each manufacturer has its own system construction. However, no matter what system, we must do a good job in technical training, after-sales service, plant protection drones are still just a few years of the initial stage, the flying hand can not be treated like ordinary tractors, in terms of technology and hard work is also complete Different. Aircraft standardization operations, maintenance requirements, and the relationship between the aircraft and the operator are all new concepts. It is difficult to make a system without these new management concepts and after-sales service awareness. At the same time, because the flying defense industry involves a relatively professional face, in addition to aircraft investment, flying hands, plant protection, maintenance, and business are all critical.
Single rotor or multi-rotor battle
The choice of single-rotor or multi-rotor in the plant protection drone industry has always been a constant problem in the industry, and it is also a question that many people want to know. But in the future, which one can stand on the market, no one can say clearly, and the shoes are not on the feet. Appropriate, only the wearer knows that the market will choose the technology that suits them.
The multi-rotor is developed from the model aircraft and is equivalent to a large model aircraft. It is loaded with the spraying equipment and becomes the plant protection drone. It is characterized by low entry threshold, easy operation and cheaper price, but its lower cyclone field is weaker than single-rotor drone, and its penetration is small, so the application effect is worse than that of a single rotor.
The single-rotor rotor has large flight stability and good wind resistance. The single wind field can effectively control the drift of the spraying agent, and the downward airflow is strong and stable. It can penetrate the dense branches and leaves, and the application effect is good. Both the fruit and tree areas can be used. For more rotors, the price is slightly higher.
Single-rotor and multi-rotor each have their own advantages. In the plant protection drone market in China, single-rotor, multi-rotor, oil-powered, electric, or both will exist at the same time. Each has its own market and each has its own working environment.